Avalanche vs. Blackhawks Prediction & Picks - Feb. 28

Colorado Avalanche v Montreal Canadiens

Photo: Minas Panagiotakis / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Colorado Avalanche (38-10-9, first in the Western Conference) take on an opponent at the opposite end of the standings, the Chicago Blackhawks (22-27-9, 14th in the Western Conference), on Saturday, Feb. 28 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before this matchup, here is who we project to take home the victory in Saturday's hockey contest.

Over the past 10 contests, the Blackhawks have gone 3-5-2 while putting up 22 total goals (two power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 6.5%). They have given up 29 goals.

Avalanche vs. Blackhawks Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final result of Avalanche 5, Blackhawks 1.

  • Moneyline Pick: Avalanche (-339)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Avalanche (-1.5)

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Avalanche Splits and Trends

  • The Avalanche are 3-9-12 in overtime matchups on their way to a 38-10-9 overall record.
  • Colorado is 8-2-4 (20 points) in its 14 games decided by one goal.
  • Looking at the four times this season the Avalanche finished a game with only one goal, they have a 2-1-1 record, good for five points.
  • Colorado has scored a pair of goals in seven games this season (1-4-2 record, four points).
  • The Avalanche have scored three or more goals 45 times, and are 35-4-6 in those games (to register 76 points).
  • In the 16 games when Colorado has scored a lone power-play goal, it registered 28 points after finishing 12-0-4.
  • In the 43 games when it outshot its opponent, Colorado is 29-7-7 (65 points).
  • The Avalanche have been outshot by opponents in 11 games, going 8-3-0 to record 16 points.

Blackhawks Splits and Trends

  • The Blackhawks have a 5-9-14 record in overtime contests this season and a 22-27-9 overall record.
  • Chicago has earned 16 points (6-7-4) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Blackhawks scored only one goal in 10 games and they finished 0-9-1 in those matchups.
  • Chicago has 11 points (4-9-3) when scoring two goals this season.
  • The Blackhawks have scored three or more goals 28 times, earning 41 points from those matchups (18-5-5).
  • This season, Chicago has recorded a single power-play goal in 22 games has a record of 10-8-4 in those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Chicago has posted a record of 8-6-4 (20 points).
  • The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents 37 times this season, and earned 33 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Avalanche Rank Avalanche AVG Blackhawks AVG Blackhawks Rank
1st 3.81 Goals Scored 2.64 26th
1st 2.46 Goals Allowed 3.17 22nd
1st 34.1 Shots 24.7 32nd
9th 26.8 Shots Allowed 29.4 25th
32nd 15.14% Power Play % 19.16% 21st
3rd 83.85% Penalty Kill % 85.14% 1st

Avalanche vs. Blackhawks Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado

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