Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions, Odds & Stats – Feb. 12

Milwaukee Bucks v Charlotte Hornets

Photo: Jared C. Tilton / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-13) are heavy, 13.5-point favorites against the Milwaukee Bucks (22-30) on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK.

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Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final tally of Thunder 123, Bucks 105.

  • Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-794)
  • Total Pick: Over 214.5 (computer predicts 227.8 points)
  • Pick ATS: Thunder (-13.5)

Recent Thunder vs. Bucks Matchups

Thunder vs Bucks (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
1/21/2026 Thunder -12 223.5 -549 +404 122-102 OKC
3/16/2025 Thunder -5.5 233.5 -221 +182 121-105 OKC
2/3/2025 Thunder -17 224.5 -2000 +1026 125-96 OKC

Thunder 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Oklahoma City is 27-28-0 against the spread this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 13.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 10-10 record against the spread.
  • Oklahoma City has gone over in 31 of its 52 games with a set total (59.6%).
  • The Thunder have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 42 (77.8%) of those contests.
  • This season, Oklahoma City has won 17 of its 19 games, or 89.5%, when favored by at least -794 on the moneyline.

Bucks 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • So far this year, Milwaukee has compiled a 23-29-0 record against the spread.
  • The teams have combined to hit the over in 21 of Milwaukee's 52 games with a set total.
  • The Bucks are 12-19 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 38.7% of those games).
  • Milwaukee has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +553 or longer.

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Thunder vs. Bucks Injury Report

Thunder

Thunder:

Thomas Sorber: Out For Season (Knee),

Nikola Topic: Out (Groin),

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Out (Abdomen),

Ajay Mitchell: Day-To-Day (Abdomen),

Jalen Williams: Day-To-Day (Hamstring)

Bucks

Bucks:

Taurean Prince: Out (Neck),

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Out (Calf),

Ryan Rollins: Day-To-Day (Foot)

Thunder vs. Bucks Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Thursday, February 12, 2026
  • Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: Amazon Prime Video and FDSOK
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Arena: Paycom Center

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