Lightning vs. Blackhawks Prediction & Picks - Jan. 23

The Tampa Bay Lightning (31-13-4) take on the Chicago Blackhawks (21-22-7) at United Center on Friday, Jan. 23 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, with both teams heading into the game following a vistory. The Lightning defeated the San Jose Sharks 4-1 in their last outing, while the Blackhawks are coming off a 4-3 shootout victory over the Carolina Hurricanes.

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Here is our prediction for who will claim the win in Friday's game.

During the past 10 outings for the Blackhawks (6-4-0), their offense has totaled 25 goals while their defense has given up 25 goals. They have recorded 26 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored six goals (23.1%).

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Predictions for Friday

Our computer projections model for this game calls for a final tally of Blackhawks 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Blackhawks (+209)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Blackhawks (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are 6-4-10 in overtime matchups as part of a 31-13-4 overall record.
• Tampa Bay is 7-7-2 (16 points) in its 16 games decided by one goal.
• Looking at the four times this season the Lightning ended a game with just one goal, they have a 1-2-1 record, good for three points.
• Tampa Bay has finished 3-5-3 in the 11 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering nine points).
• The Lightning are 27-4-0 in the 31 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 54 points).
• In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has capitalized on a lone power-play goal, it went 10-3-2 to register 22 points.
• In the 25 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 13-9-3 (29 points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 22 times, and went 17-4-1 (35 points).

Blackhawks Splits and Trends

• The Blackhawks (21-22-7 overall) have posted a record of 5-7-12 in games that have gone to OT this season.
• Chicago has earned 16 points (6-7-4) in its 17 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Blackhawks scored just one goal in eight games and they lost every time.
• When Chicago has scored exactly two goals this season, they've earned 11 points (4-6-3 record).
• The Blackhawks have scored more than two goals in 26 games, earning 38 points from those contests.
• This season, Chicago has recorded a single power-play goal in 20 games has a record of 9-7-4 in those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Chicago is 8-5-3 (19 points).
• The Blackhawks have been outshot by opponents in 31 games, going 13-14-4 to register 30 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: United Center in Chicago, Illinois

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