Lightning vs. Blackhawks Prediction & Picks - Oct. 23

The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-3-2) and Chicago Blackhawks (3-2-2) face off at Benchmark International Arena on Thursday, Oct. 23 at 6:45 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Lightning fell to the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2 in their most recent game, while the Blackhawks are coming off a 2-1 overtime win against the Anaheim Ducks.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a look at which team we predict will bring home the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this game expects a final result of Lightning 4, Blackhawks 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-318)
• Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
• Spread Pick: Blackhawks (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning are -2-2 in overtime contests on their way to a 1-3-2 overall record.
• Tampa Bay has four points (1-2-2) in the five games it has played that were decided by one goal.
• In the one game this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they lost in overtime.
• Tampa Bay finished 0-1-1 in the two games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering one point).
• The Lightning have scored more than two goals three times, and are 1-2-0 in those games (to register two points).
• In the two games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it went 0-1-1 to record one point.
• In games when it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 0-0-1 (one point).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents five times, and went 1-3-1 (three points).

Blackhawks Splits and Trends

• The Blackhawks have a 1-2-3 record in overtime games this season and a 3-2-2 overall record.
• In the four games Chicago has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up three points.
• When Chicago has scored two goals this season, they've earned three points (1-2-1 record).
• The Blackhawks have scored three or more goals in three games, earning five points from those contests.
• Chicago has scored a single power-play goal in four games this season and has registered five points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Chicago is 1-0-1 (three points).
• The Blackhawks' opponents have had more shots in five games. The Blackhawks went 2-2-1 in those matchups (five points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning vs. Blackhawks Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, October 23, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida

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